Tony Alexander

Economic Commentaries

I’ve been writing a weekly column for NZ regional newspapers since 1998. Columns produced since the start of 2011 are included on this page.

US improving better than other economies

Thursday July 4th 2013

All eyes again are on monthly US employment data this Friday night and the result has strong capacity to cause exchange rate and interest rate changes. Across the ditch data have weakened anew and Chinese data releases have also led to renewed worries about the strength of economic growth this year.

Listings shortage

Thursday July 4th 2013

The listings shortage gets worse and worse.

Interest rates steady

Thursday July 4th 2013

Rates have been steady this week but the trend is upward with hefty, and volatile, influence from US tapering expectation changes.

Debt growth accelerating

Thursday July 4th 2013

Debt growth is lifting in the household sector but not for businesses. Vehicle registrations are generally rising.

Economy improving

Thursday July 4th 2013

Economic data suggest growth in the NZ economy is accelerating – but for first home buyers almost everything is against improving home ownership.

Sentiment Remains At A Record Level

Monday July 1st 2013

This month we received 642 responses to the survey which have provided us with some excellent insight into conditions in manufacturing, retailing, real estate and many other sectors. Sector comments stretch to 17 pages this month.

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NZD Down A Bit Further

Thursday June 27th 2013

Same as last week. Tapering talk has pushed the USD up and the NZD down. Volatility will be at times extreme in the coming year as tapering gets underway – or not – then ends – or not.

US Data Okay

Thursday June 27th 2013

US data have been good this week, apart from a weak GDP revision last night which caused a small scaling back in expectations of an immediate start to the tapering exercise.

Rates Rising

Thursday June 27th 2013

US rates are rising and so too are fixed rates here.

The Tapering Shock

Thursday June 27th 2013

Expect high volatility in asset prices for the next year as speculation waxes and wanes regarding the speed of US money printing tapering.

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