Tony Alexander

Economic Commentaries

I’ve been writing a weekly column for NZ regional newspapers since 1998. Columns produced since the start of 2011 are included on this page.

Survey Data

Sunday August 7th 2011

Historical data for our BNZ Confidence Survey can be found in this file. BNZ Conf.Survey

BNZ Confidence Survey Shows Falling Optimism

Sunday August 7th 2011

Our monthly BNZ Confidence Survey has found a decrease in sentiment about where the economy will be in a year’s time to a four month low of a net 22% positive from 45% in July and a record 57% in June. Responses mainly came in after the large decline in world sharemarkets on Thursday night […]

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Highly Uncertain Times

Tuesday August 2nd 2011

There are so many things which could turn positive or negative one would be very unwise to pay too much attention to a particular set of economic forecasts. They are virtually guaranteed to change.

Risk Averse Borrowers May Want To Move

Tuesday July 26th 2011

Recent strong economic data have led to bank fixed borrowing costs rising and this means fixed home loan rates are likely to be increased soon. For risk averse borrowers planning to fix their mortgage rates the time is at hand to bite the bullet and sacrifice the lowest floating mortgage rates in four decades in […]

Housing Market In Recovery Mode

Tuesday July 26th 2011

A multitude of data sources tell us that the NZ housing market has started a cyclical recovery. However with net inward migration easing, interest rates to rise, debt still high, and prices quite elevated by world and historical standards when compared with incomes, no boom is expected this time around. July 2011 RE Overview

Kiwi Dollar Soaring Higher

Monday July 18th 2011

The Kiwi dollar has risen to a fresh post-float high against the USD, one year high against the AUD, and traded above 52.5 pence. We look at some of the factors pushing the currency up.

Real Estate Agents Report Rising Market Interest

Wednesday July 13th 2011

Our monthly survey extracted responses from 742 licensed real estate agents showing a strong rise in interest in residential property from first home buyers, higher numbers of people through open homes, stronger auction clearance rates, and a perception now that prices are rising after three months of a belief that they were falling. The results […]

Business Optimism High

Tuesday July 12th 2011

This week we discuss some of the key results from our monthly survey and also note high currency volatility is quite possible in the very near future.

BNZ Confidence Survey for July

Monday July 11th 2011

Our monthly BNZ Confidence Survey has found a slight decrease in the net percent of Weekly Overview readers expecting the economy to improve over the coming year to a net 45% positive from 57% in early June. The result is still very high by the standards of the survey and suggests some good growth in […]

BNZ Confidence Survey Data File

Monday July 11th 2011

The data file of results from our monthly BNZ Confidence Survey is available here.  BNZConf.Survey

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