Tony Alexander

Economic Commentaries

I’ve been writing a weekly column for NZ regional newspapers since 1998. Columns produced since the start of 2011 are included on this page.

Real estate market getting stronger

Wednesday September 7th 2011

All of the main eight measures we use to gauge the current strength of the residential real estate market around New Zealand have strengthened over the past month indicating that slowly but surely on average things are shifting to a sellers market. More and more first home buyers are appearing, prices are perceived to be […]

Forestry Paper

Tuesday September 6th 2011

This is a quick paper put together for the Forest Industries Expo in Rotorua this week. Medium Term Economic and Trading Outlook for the Forestry Sector

Offshore situation getting worse

Tuesday September 6th 2011

Domestically NZ is looking better. But offshore things are rapidly getting worse. High caution is required and debt repayment shuld remain a strong focus.

BNZ Confidence Survey – September

Monday September 5th 2011

Our latest monthly survey of 25,000 Weekly Overview readers has revealed a rise in sentiment to a net 36% optimism about the economy in a year’s time compared with a net 22% optimism in early August. In real estate listings remain short but there is no flood of buyers, construction remains constrained with rising concern […]

BNZ Confidence Survey Data File

Monday September 5th 2011

This Excel file contains monthly results from our survey dating from February 2005.

Download document vnd.-excel 33kb

NZ Economy Growing – In Parts

Tuesday August 30th 2011

This week we look at a variey of NZ data which show some parts of the economy moving forward and others in recession.

Real Estate Market Slowly Improving

Tuesday August 23rd 2011

In this month’s overview of the NZ residential real estate market we canvass data showing that the market is improving though at a slow pace. There are some headwinds going forward including easing population growth. However the worsening shortage of propertyis expected to bring more and more buyers into the market and this is already […]

Download document pdf 157kb

Some Perspective

Tuesday August 16th 2011

We often think that our situation in New Zealand is not that good. But when one thinks about the woe overseas we look like a paradise.

More and More First Home Buyers

Wednesday August 10th 2011

Our monthly BNZ-REINZ Residential Market Survey has found further evidence of first home buyers entering the real estate market while investors appear to be backing away. Prices are generally perceived to be rising although in some parts of the country such as Wellington and and Tauranga the perception of surveyed licensed agents is that they […]

The World Turns – Back To Floating

Tuesday August 9th 2011

The turbulence of the past week will clearly cause a weakening of both economic growth around the world and inflationary pressures here in the short term. That means the Resrve Bank is highly unlikely to raise the cash rate in September and we must move back to predicting a December rise. That means borrowers can […]

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