Tony Alexander

Economic Commentaries

I’ve been writing a weekly column for NZ regional newspapers since 1998. Columns produced since the start of 2011 are included on this page.

Business confidence stays high

Thursday May 8th 2014

A strong net 59% of respondents in our monthly BNZ Confidence Survey feel that the economy will be in better shape in a year’s time than it is now. This is consistent with monthly results since the middle of last year and bodes well for continuing strong growth in employment along with business investment.

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Business Confidence Stays Strong

Friday April 11th 2014

Our monthly survey shows businesses remain highly confident about where the economy is headed.

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BNZ-REINZ Survey March 2014

Monday March 17th 2014

All eight of our main measures of sentiment in the residential real estate sector have eased off in March after rising firmly in some instances in February. On balance one could not say nationwide that it is a buyer’s or a seller’s market though in Auckland it is still a seller’s market with a net […]

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Confidence Remains Elevated

Tuesday March 11th 2014

Our monthly survey of BNZ Weekly Overview readers shows confidence about the economy remains at very high levels. A net 66% of the 496 respondents expect the NZ economy to be in a better condition in a year’s time than it is now. Last month’s outcome was a net 68% and this month only 23 […]

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Consumer Confidence High

Tuesday March 4th 2014

Our monthly survey with Nine Rewards has found that a net 45% of our 553 respondents are confident that the economy will improve over the coming year. This strong result is consistent with many other sentiment indicators but does not as yet appear to be leading to a widespread willingness by consumers to open their […]

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Seller’s Market Returns

Monday February 17th 2014

All of the measures we use to gauge the strength of the residential property market have improved this month compared with our last survey undertaken in early-December. Most notably a net 5% of the 469 responding agents now feel that it is once again a seller’s market compared with a net 16% in December and […]

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Confidence Remains Elevated

Monday February 3rd 2014

Our first BNZ Confidence Survey for 2014 has found the same very high level of confidence about the economy as our last survey for 2013. A net 68% of the 543 respondents expect the economy to be in better shape in a year’s time. A year ago this result was a net 32% positive. In […]

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Confidence Strong, Jobs Improving

Monday January 27th 2014

Although the net percent of our 549 respondents expressing optimism about the economy has jumped to 47.2% from 30% two months ago, perhaps the most significant result in our survey this month is in the labour market. Only a net 12.2% of respondents now say that they are finding it hard to source jobs or […]

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First Home Buyers Absent

Monday December 16th 2013

Our December survey of licensed real estate agents throughout New Zealand has found a continuing disappearance of first home buyers from the market following the introduction of LVR rules. A net 77% of the 587 responding agents report seeing fewer first home buyers, a result statistically unchanged from November’s net 78%.

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Christmas Shoppers Plan Restraint

Monday December 9th 2013

Our monthly survey of NZ consumers has found that a net 30% are optimistic about the state of the economy in a year’s time which is down just slightly from November’s net 35% outcome. A high net 47% plan raising spending from November but there is clearly a seasonal effect in play here. Asked whether […]

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