Tony Alexander

Economic Commentaries

Tony Alexander

Welcome to the online library we have created for placing reports and specialised commentaries too large or detailed to go into our flagship publication the BNZ Weekly Overview.

What’s New

Weekly Overview 19 April 2018

Thursday April 19th 2018

This week I take a simple look at reasons why our economy’s growth rate and jobs growth have both been so strong the past four years, in spite of the big fall in dairy prices over 2013-14.

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Weekly Overview 12 April 2018

Thursday April 12th 2018

In our first issue of the renewed Weekly Overview we take a look at the tight labour market and the need for businesses to boost investment, the chances of another small easing in the LVR rules, and why any decent hike in interest rates remains some way off.

Download document pdf 362kb

Sporadic 13 March 2018

Tuesday March 13th 2018

The NZ economy has grown strongly these past four years and factors supporting further strong, though slightly slower, growth are numerous. What could go wrong? In this issue of Sporadic we look at some of the blind spots which businesses might have in an economy increasingly constrained by lack of resources rather than customers.

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Sporadic 21 February 2018

Wednesday February 21st 2018

In this issue I take a look at Bitcoin and the block chain, the long-term trend for the NZ dollar, and interest rate prospects.

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Sporadic 7 February 2018

Wednesday February 7th 2018

New Zealand’s labour market is very tight. Wages growth remains muted but badly needs to accelerate so businesses without pricing power will close down and people can move to positions where their output will be worth more, economic growth can accelerate, and average incomes can rise – especially through the all-important cross-pollination of ideas and processes central to much business growth these days.

Download document pdf 291kb